Reliable AI: Why Accuracy Isn’t Enough in the Real World
In the lab, accuracy asks a clean, binary question: Did the model get this right? In the real world, that question is dangerously incomplete.
For mission-driven AI products—especially in healthcare, climate, infrastructure, and industry—the real question is harder and far more consequential: Can we count on this system every time it counts?
That gap between getting the answer right once and getting it right every time is the difference between a promising prototype and a product trusted with lives, safety, or capital. That gap is reliability.
Reliability Is About Predictability, Not Peak Performance
Accuracy is a snapshot. Reliability is a trajectory.
A reliable system produces consistent, predictable behavior across time, deployments, populations, and operating conditions. It doesn’t just work on a curated benchmark; it holds up when the lab lights are off.
This is where teams moving from academic ML into products often struggle. As Tobias Rijken, CTO of Kheiron Medical, notes, real-world machine learning looks nothing like academic machine learning. A research model may hit a performance threshold once; a clinical product must deliver expert-level outputs across thousands of messy, real cases.
When reliability is achieved, consistency becomes a product feature. Dirk Smeets, CTO of icometrix, emphasized that reliable ML systems can perform at the level of highly specialized radiologists—and do so consistently. That consistency is what allows expertise to reach a rural clinic as reliably as an academic medical center.
Reliability isn’t about being good once. It’s about being predictable when it matters.
Why Reliability Fails Outside the Lab
Most reliability failures don’t look like crashes. They look like subtle inconsistency.
Performance degrades slowly. Outputs vary just enough to confuse users. Edge cases accumulate. No single failure is dramatic, but together they erode trust.
A common root cause is the benchmark fallacy: assuming that a strong score on a frozen dataset guarantees real-world performance. As Marcel Gehrung, CEO of Cyted, pointed out, solving a technical problem in a paper is very different from surviving a high-volume clinical screening pathway.
Sometimes the failure is mundane. Harro Stokman, CEO of Kepler Vision, described how early deployments struggled because the system mistook coat racks or Christmas statues for fallen humans. The model wasn’t wrong in the lab—it simply hadn’t encountered real homes.
Infrastructure variation can quietly undermine reliability as well. Emi Gal, CEO of Ezra, recounts how regulators flagged a dataset skewed toward Siemens scanners over GE scanners. The task hadn’t changed; the hardware context had.
In climate and infrastructure AI, the issue can be temporal. Subit Chakrabarti, VP of Technology at Floodbase, highlights how climate change breaks a core modeling assumption: that historical data reliably predicts the present. A static model becomes a monument to the past.
In each case, the model isn’t theoretically wrong; it’s misaligned with reality.
Reliability Has Three Dimensions
Reliability isn’t a single metric. It’s a performance profile maintained across time, context, and operation.
1. Temporal Reliability (Across Time)
Once deployed, models enter a world that changes continuously. Reliability over time requires managing multiple forms of drift:
-
Model drift as environments evolve
-
Data drift as sensors or physical systems change
-
Concept drift as the meaning of data shifts
A concrete example comes from shipping. Konstantinos Kyriakopoulos, CEO of DeepSea, explains how hull fouling gradually changes vessel dynamics, increasing fuel consumption by 10–20%. Sensors still function, but the relationship between inputs and outputs shifts. Reliability requires detecting and adapting to that change.
Concept drift can be subtler. Bill Tancer, co-founder of Signos, has described how his glucose response to identical meals changed over several years as his metabolic health improved. The inputs stayed the same; the physiology did not. A model trained on his earlier state would quietly become unreliable.
Temporal reliability is not a modeling task alone—it’s a lifecycle commitment.
2. Contextual Reliability (Across Place and Population)
Contextual reliability asks whether a system holds up when moved across geographies, institutions, populations, or hardware.
In agriculture, Hamed Alemohammad of the Clark Center for Geospatial Analytics showed how models trained on large, homogeneous Midwest farms fail on smallholder farms with different practices and seasonal patterns.
In healthcare, population reliability carries life-and-death implications. David Golan, CTO of Viz.ai, warns that if certain age groups or ethnicities receive lower accuracy, they may miss life-saving treatment. Historical examples, such as breast cancer assays later found less accurate for Black women, underscore how reliability and fairness are inseparable.
Reliability isn’t just about averages. It’s about who the system works for.
3. Operational Reliability (Inside Real Workflows)
Even strong models fail if they don’t survive real workflows.
Operational reliability includes tolerance to operator variability, workflow integration, and reproducibility.
To address operator variability, John Bertrand, CEO of Digital Diagnostics, described using assistive AI to guide users during data capture, ensuring consistent input quality regardless of skill.
Workflow fit matters just as much. Dirk Smeets argues for AI that runs quietly in the background—automatically between data capture and expert review. When AI becomes plumbing rather than a science experiment, adoption follows.
Reproducibility anchors trust. Philipp Kainz of KML Vision notes that consistent outputs provide an objective baseline independent of fatigue, bias, or time of day.
Why Reliability Is the Foundation of Trust
A model that is 99% accurate but unpredictably wrong is often less valuable than one that is 95% accurate but consistently wrong in known ways.
Trust requires predictability.
Users can compensate for known limitations. They cannot safely compensate for randomness. When reliability falters, users disengage. Sean Cassidy, CEO of Lucem Health, notes that clinicians are already overwhelmed by alerts. Inconsistent AI outputs quickly become noise.
Regulators reflect this reality. Todd Villines, Chief Medical Officer at Elucid, explains that rigorous clinical studies with blinding and independent core labs exist to prove consistent performance across real-world variability. Reliability is the standard, not a bonus.
Reliability Is a Product Property, Not a Model Property
Reliability does not live in model weights. It emerges from the entire system:
In digital pathology, Proscia prevents blurred slides, air bubbles, or missing tissue from reaching downstream models. Kepler Vision detects compromised sensors before predictions are trusted. Taranis validates drone image quality in the field so unusable data can be re-captured immediately.
Monitoring must be first-class infrastructure. DeepSea uses uncertainty-aware metrics to detect when physical conditions shift enough to invalidate predictions. Perimeter Medical relies on strict version control to roll back models that fail objective performance gates.
Reliability is engineered, not assumed.
The Cost of the Reliability Gap
The Reliability Gap—the distance between lab performance and real-world dependability—is a business risk.
In heavy industry, Berk Birand, CEO of Fero Labs, notes that a single bad prediction can destroy an entire production batch. In healthcare, Junaid Kalia, founder of NeuroCare.AI, argues that deploying AI without robust QA when lives are at stake is an ethical failure.
At scale, human oversight collapses. Gershom Kutliroff, CTO of Taranis, points out that when monitoring billions of acres, manual quality control is impossible. Reliability must be embedded—or scaling stops.
Closing the Gap
Reliability is not something you achieve once. It’s something you maintain—across time, across context, and across workflows.
Teams that treat reliability as a core product requirement—not a downstream validation problem—are the ones whose systems survive long enough to matter.
Next, we’ll turn to robustness: what happens when conditions move beyond expected variability and into true chaos—and how to design AI systems that don’t break when they get there.
- Heather
|